Still not safe, Still not effective....

[Diligaf]

Originally Posted by gladi8r

So I joined a couple years ago, never had much interest in posting since I have been unable to hobby due to health reasons. But I check in once in awhile and lurk. I've been drawn to this forum and it really surprises me. I thought most hobbyists tended to be reasonable people and more tolerant. If you are already participating in something that much of society does not approve of, I would think you would be much more accepting and objective about the views of others.

I am fascinated to find that this is not the case. There are many of you that have fallen into the behaviors that I believe are destroying the Conservative movement in general and the GOP in particular.

Your post is a good example. In other parts of this thread you have been criticized for misrepresentation of scientific data. You claimed to be qualified to make the statements you did, but the response to your claims seemed to pretty effectively challenge that. The point was also made that if your claims were true, that the conclusions you then made about the data were intentionally misleading.

You seem to have done the same thing again. You take two separate, unrelated events and then imply a link to the COVID vaccine. With no apparent evidence of any kind that this is the case. You don't even know if they got the vaccine! That seems to be very irresponsible and unethical.

Why would you do this? I am puzzled and concerned. You are not the only member that does these types of things. Is the charge that you want to break things more than they already are actually true? I cannot imagine that this will help. Or is it just that all of you like the attention from stirring things up? I think that is very dangerous. I keep being reminded of the saying to be careful what you ask for because you might get it.

I do not mean to single you out particularly. I don't want to go to war with a bunch of you who seem to encourage that behavior. You have just come to my attention because you are repeating behavior that you were just called out for in a pretty effective way. I really don't understand this. You cannot actually believe that your small group understands things that a whole bunch of other people do not.

I think this is probably a waste of time, but I would encourage you to stop making things worse. I can tell you from a very large network of acquaintances that I have that there are many lifelong Conservatives and Republicans out there that feel like you are giving us a very bad name. We think you are doing damage that we may not ever fully recover from.

Your post is spot on. I joined up looking for hooker reviews, and what did I find? The board's busiest and most active forums are the sandboxes, and this one is mainly populated by conspiracy-wrapped folks who, in the 1970s, would have been admitted to a psych ward.

Thankfully, there's a very small population of people here that would be affected by the rants and unscientific posts. I feel bad for any family members over whom they exert influence. No doubt there've been some repercussions that weren't necessary.

They call out for scientists and doctors to be prosecuted for encouraging folks to save their own lives, yet aren't held accountable for spewing absolute bullshit that has caused deaths.

Sad shit.

[Tiny]

Originally Posted by Michael8219

Multiple degrees. Theses. TMC. Sure I’m going to provide you with multiple papers, degrees, universities here and abroad to out myself in this venue.

Simple flawed NIH study conclusion to exemplify how biased the government and certain medical research and industry is.

Here is another link which more succinctly describes my viewpoint:
http://www.yahoo.com/news/covid-vacc...051100916.html

Originally Posted by Tiny

I read the paper in question, and the researchers on the other hand are biased IMHO. They quote an infection fatality ratio (IFR) published by Ioannidis from October 2020, being 0.23%, as gospel. While the IFR now is a lot lower than 0.23%, at the time it was a lot higher than Ioannidis' estimate. I believe esteemed contributor Waco Kid was using 0.5% at the time, while Adav8s28 and Bill Gates were around 1.0% to 1.2%. The real number in the USA in 2020 was probably in that range. The writers also dwell on the IFR of people under 70 (.05%) while ignoring double digit IFR's for the aged. They also place way too much emphasis on vaccines as a possible reason for the excess deaths not accounted for by COVID infections without much more than anecdotal evidence. Others like Paglino et al blame factors like "health care interruptions, socioeconomic disruptions", and most importantly, undercounting COVID deaths. The researchers don't even look at the number of deaths attributable to COVID, the disease, in their analysis.

I think I can debunk their work. Will be back after I've looked at some of their data.

Here’s the paper in question:

https://bmjpublichealth.bmj.com/cont...00282.full.pdf

Paglino et al:

https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2313661121

I did go back and pull the data from Our World in Data that the researchers used for Michael's BMJ paper, which was summarized in the Independent. It's here,

https://covid.ourworldindata.org/dat...ovid-data.xlsx

As noted above, it was curious that the writers ignored the number of deaths attributed to COVID, the disease, in their analysis.

The crux of the BMJ study is that excess mortality, from all causes including COVID, in 47 western countries was as follows,

2020 1,033,122 excess deaths
2021 1,256,942 excess deaths
2022 808,392 excess deaths

The writers believe that COVID vaccines may have been one of the chief reasons for the excess deaths.

I was too lazy to sum COVID deaths and Excess deaths from 47 countries, but did it for the USA, and here are the results,

COVID deaths in USA:

2020 342,920
2021 469,667
2022 267,389

Total excess deaths in USA, including COVID:

2020 454,610
2021 508,690
2022 278,850

Here are COVID deaths as a % of total excess deaths in USA:

2020 75%
2021 92%
2022 96%

In 2021 and 2022, 92% and 96% respectively of the excess deaths are accounted for by COVID, the disease. In 2020, the ratio was 75%, which is pretty significant. There were a lot more excess deaths than COVID deaths in 2020. But the vaccine sure as hell wasn't the culprit in 2020, because there was no vaccine.

The differences in 2021 and 2022 between total excess deaths and COVID deaths, when we did have the vaccine, were small.

Anyway you slice it or dice it, in the USA at least, I don't see how you can attribute many excess deaths to the vaccines.

[texassapper]

The numbers are worthless to prove a point. They were altered and screwed with.... Fave it, they lied about funding it, they lied about it being natural, they lied about what they were telling you to do, they lied about ivermectin, they lied about the masks, they lied and they lied and they lied. BUT oh... no we should TOTALLY believe the statistics because they wouldn't lie about that too!

[Tiny]

Originally Posted by texassapper

The numbers are worthless to prove a point. They were altered and screwed with.... Fave it, they lied about funding it, they lied about it being natural, they lied about what they were telling you to do, they lied about ivermectin, they lied about the masks, they lied and they lied and they lied. BUT oh... no we should TOTALLY believe the statistics because they wouldn't lie about that too!

The numbers in Michael's BMJ paper were used to support the position that the COVID vaccines may have killed many people. I don't think they were altered or screwed with -- just misinterpreted. And you have a point. In some instances, it must have been hard to decide whether to attribute deaths to COVID or another disease or infirmity. I think that's part of why COVID deaths were undercounted in 2020. There were some people who died that year because of COVID infections, but their deaths were attributed to diabetes, heart disease, Alzheimer's and the like.