We've Flatten The Curve. It's Time For Texas To Move On.

[dilbert firestorm]

Originally Posted by HoeHummer

Are they testing for the Orange Fever in Texas?

i reckon that we do have orange fever.

[friendly fred]

Update:

29Mar2020 positive tests 2,552 negative tests 23,208 deaths 34 total tests 25,760
30Mar2020 positive tests 2,877 negative tests 33,003 deaths 38 total tests 35,880
31Mar2020 positive tests 3,266 negative tests 42,992 deaths 41 total tests 42992
01Apr2020 positive tests 3,997 negative tests 43,860 deaths 58 total tests 47857
02Apr2020 positive tests 4,669 negative tests 46,010 deaths 70 total tests 50679
03Apr2020 positive tests 5,330 negative tests 50,434 deaths 90 total tests 55764
04Apr2020 positive tests 6,110 negative tests 57,641 deaths 105 total tests 63751
05Apr2020 positive tests 6,812 negative tests 64,126 deaths 127 total tests 70,938
06Apr2020 positive tests 7,276 negative tests 78,081 deaths 140 total tests 85,357

Over 15,000 tests and just 464 positive over the last reporting period!

9 out of 10 cases test negative among symptomatic persons getting limited resources. Just think how low it would be if everyone were tested.

Positive cases each day:

(2877-2552)/2552 = 12.7% increase
(3266-2877)/2877 = 13.5% increase - mild, not exponential
(3997-3266)/3266 = 22.4% increase - definitely worse
(4669-3997)/3997 = 16.8% increase - not exponential
(5330-4669)/4669 = 14.2% increase - 2 straight days of a lower increase
(6110-5330)/5330 = 14.6% increase - flattened yet?
(6812-6110)/6110 = 11.4% increase - diminishing increase
(7276-6812)6812 = 6.8% increase - way fewer new cases than the day before!!

Death rate in Texas for COVID-19 has gone down!

Since 25 March Daily deaths 6, 5, 4, 7, 4, 3, 17, 12, 20, 15, 22, 13

[friendly fred]

Originally Posted by gnadfly

HoseHummer is patient 0 for Trump Derangement Syndrome.

He is also likely responsible when bleeding rectum cases spike as well...

[friendly fred]

Update:

29Mar2020 positive tests 2,552 negative tests 23,208 deaths 34 total tests 25,760
30Mar2020 positive tests 2,877 negative tests 33,003 deaths 38 total tests 35,880
31Mar2020 positive tests 3,266 negative tests 42,992 deaths 41 total tests 42992
01Apr2020 positive tests 3,997 negative tests 43,860 deaths 58 total tests 47857
02Apr2020 positive tests 4,669 negative tests 46,010 deaths 70 total tests 50679
03Apr2020 positive tests 5,330 negative tests 50,434 deaths 90 total tests 55764
04Apr2020 positive tests 6,110 negative tests 57,641 deaths 105 total tests 63751
05Apr2020 positive tests 6,812 negative tests 64,126 deaths 127 total tests 70,938
06Apr2020 positive tests 7,276 negative tests 78,081 deaths 140 total tests 85,357
07Apr2020 positive tests 8,262 negative tests 80,387 deaths 154 total tests 88,649


9 out of 10 cases test negative among symptomatic persons getting limited resources. Just think how low it would be if everyone were tested.

Positive cases each day:

(2877-2552)/2552 = 12.7% increase
(3266-2877)/2877 = 13.5% increase - mild, not exponential
(3997-3266)/3266 = 22.4% increase - definitely worse
(4669-3997)/3997 = 16.8% increase - not exponential
(5330-4669)/4669 = 14.2% increase - 2 straight days of a lower increase
(6110-5330)/5330 = 14.6% increase - flattened yet?
(6812-6110)/6110 = 11.4% increase - diminishing increase
(7276-6812)6812 = 6.8% increase - way fewer new cases than the day before!!
(8262-7276)/7276 = 13.6% increase - going the wrong way


Since 25 March Daily deaths 6, 5, 4, 7, 4, 3, 17, 12, 20, 15, 22, 13, 14

Let's hope the death rate stays down.

[friendly fred]

Update:

29Mar2020 positive tests 2,552 negative tests 23,208 deaths 34 total tests 25,760
30Mar2020 positive tests 2,877 negative tests 33,003 deaths 38 total tests 35,880
31Mar2020 positive tests 3,266 negative tests 42,992 deaths 41 total tests 42992
01Apr2020 positive tests 3,997 negative tests 43,860 deaths 58 total tests 47857
02Apr2020 positive tests 4,669 negative tests 46,010 deaths 70 total tests 50679
03Apr2020 positive tests 5,330 negative tests 50,434 deaths 90 total tests 55764
04Apr2020 positive tests 6,110 negative tests 57,641 deaths 105 total tests 63751
05Apr2020 positive tests 6,812 negative tests 64,126 deaths 127 total tests 70,938
06Apr2020 positive tests 7,276 negative tests 78,081 deaths 140 total tests 85,357
07Apr2020 positive tests 8,262 negative tests 80,387 deaths 154 total tests 88,649
08Apr2020 positive tests 9,353 negative tests 86,905 deaths 177 total tests 96,258

9 out of 10 cases test negative among symptomatic persons getting limited resources. Just think how low it would be if everyone were tested.

Positive cases each day: (cumulative, not net of discharges)

(2877-2552)/2552 = 12.7% increase
(3266-2877)/2877 = 13.5% increase - mild, not exponential
(3997-3266)/3266 = 22.4% increase - definitely worse
(4669-3997)/3997 = 16.8% increase - not exponential
(5330-4669)/4669 = 14.2% increase - 2 straight days of a lower increase
(6110-5330)/5330 = 14.6% increase - flattened yet?
(6812-6110)/6110 = 11.4% increase - diminishing increase
(7276-6812)6812 = 6.8% increase - way fewer new cases than the day before!!
(8262-7276)/7276 = 13.6% increase - going the wrong way
(9353-8262)/8262 = 13.2% increase - peak? too early to say

Since 25 March Daily deaths 6, 5, 4, 7, 4, 3, 17, 12, 20, 15, 22, 13, 14, 23

Let's hope the death rate stays down.

[gnadfly]

People are starting to clamor; questioning openly as to why we are doing this. Not everyone has a govt job where they don't have to show and still get paid, or an IT job where they can work remotely.

They should have starting phasing "nonessential" businesses back in a week or so ago.

[dilbert firestorm]

Originally Posted by friendly fred

Update:

29Mar2020 positive tests 2,552 negative tests 23,208 deaths 34 total tests 25,760
30Mar2020 positive tests 2,877 negative tests 33,003 deaths 38 total tests 35,880
31Mar2020 positive tests 3,266 negative tests 42,992 deaths 41 total tests 42992
01Apr2020 positive tests 3,997 negative tests 43,860 deaths 58 total tests 47857
02Apr2020 positive tests 4,669 negative tests 46,010 deaths 70 total tests 50679
03Apr2020 positive tests 5,330 negative tests 50,434 deaths 90 total tests 55764
04Apr2020 positive tests 6,110 negative tests 57,641 deaths 105 total tests 63751
05Apr2020 positive tests 6,812 negative tests 64,126 deaths 127 total tests 70,938
06Apr2020 positive tests 7,276 negative tests 78,081 deaths 140 total tests 85,357
07Apr2020 positive tests 8,262 negative tests 80,387 deaths 154 total tests 88,649
08Apr2020 positive tests 9,353 negative tests 86,905 deaths 177 total tests 96,258

9 out of 10 cases test negative among symptomatic persons getting limited resources. Just think how low it would be if everyone were tested.

Positive cases each day: (cumulative, not net of discharges)

(2877-2552)/2552 = 12.7% increase
(3266-2877)/2877 = 13.5% increase - mild, not exponential
(3997-3266)/3266 = 22.4% increase - definitely worse
(4669-3997)/3997 = 16.8% increase - not exponential
(5330-4669)/4669 = 14.2% increase - 2 straight days of a lower increase
(6110-5330)/5330 = 14.6% increase - flattened yet?
(6812-6110)/6110 = 11.4% increase - diminishing increase
(7276-6812)6812 = 6.8% increase - way fewer new cases than the day before!!
(8262-7276)/7276 = 13.6% increase - going the wrong way
(9353-8262)/8262 = 13.2% increase - peak? too early to say

Since 25 March Daily deaths 6, 5, 4, 7, 4, 3, 17, 12, 20, 15, 22, 13, 14, 23

Let's hope the death rate stays down.

are the totals cumulative?

[friendly fred]

Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm

are the totals cumulative?

Yes they are cumulative.

https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/...01e8b9cafc8b83

[friendly fred]

Originally Posted by gnadfly

People are starting to clamor; questioning openly as to why we are doing this. Not everyone has a govt job where they don't have to show and still get paid, or an IT job where they can work remotely.

They should have starting phasing "nonessential" businesses back in a week or so ago.

Quarantine the old fuckers, masks on the young fuckers, and everyone get the fuck back to work!

[gnadfly]

Let me know where you can buy a mask. Not that I volunteer to wear one, I'm just tired of people looking at me.

I figure if I order one from Amazon today, it likely won't get here until next week when this whole debacle is over.

[Tsmokies]

I'm just curious on how many people have been tested that post on here? How did you find a place and how long did it take to get your results? I'm not sure we can flatten the curve when we have no clue where the curve is

[oeb11]

Considering the poster - there is no such thing as "We"!

[friendly fred]

Originally Posted by gnadfly

Let me know where you can buy a mask. Not that I volunteer to wear one, I'm just tired of people looking at me.

I figure if I order one from Amazon today, it likely won't get here until next week when this whole debacle is over.

It will take weeks to get one from Amazon - it is kind of fun to wear a bandanna and look like a bank robber!

[gnadfly]

I may just wear my full face motorcycle helmet. And drive my car with it on.

[friendly fred]

Originally Posted by Revenant

Get it straight dipshit. You made the mistake and I showed you the math above. Point out where you think I made a mistake.


What the fuck does that even mean? Are you speaking English?

If experts determine that a disease has an exponential growth rate where the disease doubles every 5 or 6 days, that does NOT mean they measured for only 5 or 6 days. More like they measured every day (30 data points) for a MONTH and worked backwards to figure out the period of doubling. So, if after 30 days, the disease went up by a factor of 32, that constitutes 5 doublings (2 to the 5th power). 30 divided by 5 is 6. So you have a period of 6 days, where it doubles every 6 days for a month.


You have NO IDEA whether or not it has slowed anything down yet. It will take a MINIMUM of a month to know for sure.

And TO REPEAT - your own data above demonstrates that we are growing exponentially through the end of March into April. So what are you basing your false conclusion on?

Fuck you, ExNYer

We are likely even below California in deaths per million people.

Our spacing is naturally healthier.