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			03-31-2020, 10:38 PM
			
			
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			#106
			
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			isn't fortelling death kinda sick?
		 
		
		
		
		
		
		
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			03-31-2020, 10:44 PM
			
			
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			#107
			
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	Quote: 
	
	
		
			
				
					Originally Posted by  dilbert firestorm
					 
				 
				isn't fortelling death kinda sick? 
			
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Hell yeah it's sick, but it's all relative.  Foretelling death is  nothing compared to the stuff Solemate62's into. I can't read through to the end of some of his reviews without running to the bathroom to barf.
 
Give me a number Dilbert
		  
		
		
		
		
		
		
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			03-31-2020, 10:49 PM
			
			
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			#108
			
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			 BANNED 
            
			
			
			
				
			
			
				 
                
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					Originally Posted by  Tiny
					 
				 
				Teeny Tiny, sheesh, you sound like my girlfriend when she's trying to give me a complex about my penis. 
 
Sure, fine to revise, we shouldn't reach peak death rate for a couple of weeks so you're not gaming my game.  What's your new number?   
			
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323,001
		  
		
		
		
		
		
		
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			03-31-2020, 10:54 PM
			
			
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			#109
			
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					Originally Posted by  eccieuser9500
					 
				 
				323,001 
			
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Gracias senor
		  
		
		
		
		
		
		
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			03-31-2020, 11:01 PM
			
			
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			#110
			
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			 Valued Poster 
            
			
			
			
			
				 
                
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	Quote: 
	
	
		
			
				
					Originally Posted by  dilbert firestorm
					 
				 
				isn't fortelling death kinda sick? 
			
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Kinda MORBID.
		  
		
		
		
		
		
		
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			03-31-2020, 11:04 PM
			
			
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			#111
			
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	Quote: 
	
	
		
			
				
					Originally Posted by  Tiny
					 
				 
				Hell yeah it's sick, but it's all relative.  Foretelling death is  nothing compared to the stuff Solemate62's into. I can't read through to the end of some of his reviews without running to the bathroom to barf. 
 
Give me a number Dilbert 
			
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85,000
		  
		
		
		
		
		
		
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			03-31-2020, 11:38 PM
			
			
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			#112
			
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			 BANNED 
            
			
			
			
				
			
			
				 
                
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					Originally Posted by  Tiny
					 
				 
				Gracias senor 
			
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			03-31-2020, 11:59 PM
			
			
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			#113
			
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			 AKA ULTRA MAGA Trump Gurl 
            
			
			
			
				
			
			
				 
                
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					Originally Posted by  eccieuser9500
					 
				 
				323,001 
			
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so it's 323,001 to < 63k.
 
if you say so
 
BAHHHAHAAAAAA
		  
		
		
		
		
		
		
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			04-01-2020, 02:32 AM
			
			
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			#114
			
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			 BANNED 
            
			
			
			
				
			
			
				 
                
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					Originally Posted by  eccieuser9500
					 
				 
				We have one year and three quarters left until D day. Or V day? Anyway. 
 
As per the NPR article, 100,000 in mere months. So by the last day of NEXT year, it's going to be closer to a quarter million people! Way passed your measly 63K. You want to stick with that? For 21 months?  
 
If teeny Tiny allows me to revert back to my comical guess of over (The Price is Right rules, remember) 260K. Afterall, he wants to revise his guess. Whatcha say, Tiny? I'll go ahead and say . . .  
 
260,001 + 1 + your 63K = 323,001 
 
Closest without going over. The "Greatest Generation" (you bet your ass I put it quotes), and their older booming offspring, plus those variable deaths due to pre existing immuno defiencies will be dispassionately erased. Cataclysmic? This will be studied for generations. 
			
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					Originally Posted by  The_Waco_Kid
					 
				 
				so it's 323,001 to < 63k. 
 
 
if you say so 
 
 
BAHHHAHAAAAAA 
			
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					Originally Posted by  The_Waco_Kid
					 
				 
				following your body count. so what is it? 
 
 
> 323,001 ? less?  
 
you call it goombah 
 
 
BAHHHAHAAAAAA 
			
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X is going to be > than 323,001
		  
		
		
		
		
		
		
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			04-01-2020, 12:16 PM
			
			
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			#115
			
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			9500 and the Fascist DPST's are just basking in joy over the numbers they are projecting- Thinking (relative term for DPST's)  it will defeat Trump in favor of the senile idiot Biden.  
 
go ahead and enjoy - while u can - DPST's!
		 
		
		
		
		
		
		
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			04-01-2020, 03:13 PM
			
			
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			#116
			
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			 Account Disabled 
            
			
			
			
			
				 
                
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			My prediction is by EOY 2021 we'll have 70,000 ventilators sitting around in the box, never opened.
		 
		
		
		
		
		
		
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			04-01-2020, 03:54 PM
			
			
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			#117
			
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			 Lifetime Premium Access 
            
			
			
			
			
				 
                
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				Model and Death Guess Game Update
			 
			 
			
		
		
		
			
			March 31, 2020 
Predicted Deaths from Covid-19 in the United States of America  
 
University of Washington IHME Model:  93,765  (1) 
 
The Waco Kid Italian Extrapolation:  greater than 71,037 (2) 
 
South Korean Extrapolation: greater than 1,056 (3) 
  
(1) Assumes four types of social distancing occur throughout the United States.  Deaths projected to August 4, 2020 
 
(2) Covid-19 deaths to date in Italy increased by the ratio of the population of the USA (327.2 million) to Italy (60.5 million), or 5.4X 
 
(3) Covid-19 deaths to date in South Korea increased by the ratio of the population of the USA (327.2 million) to South Korea (51.5 million), or 6.4X 
 
 
Death Game Estimates, to 12/31/2021: 
 
Friendly Fred:  50,000 
Dilbert Firestorm:  80,000 
Dr. Anthony Fauci:  150,000 (4) 
Dr. Deborah Birx:  172,000 (4) 
Tiny:  260,000 
eccieuser9500:  323,001 
Dr. James Lawler:  480,000 
adav8s28:  1,569,600 
 
(4) average of high and low estimates 
 
The daily death rate in Italy is slowing.
		 
		
		
		
		
		
		
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			04-01-2020, 04:02 PM
			
			
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			#118
			
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			41,806
		 
		
		
		
		
		
		
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			04-02-2020, 03:16 PM
			
			
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			#119
			
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			 Valued Poster 
            
			
			
			
			
				 
                
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					Originally Posted by  Jacuzzme
					 
				 
				41,806 
			
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You could end up being right.
		  
		
		
		
		
		
		
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			04-02-2020, 03:21 PM
			
			
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			#120
			
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			Case mortality rate estimates are dropping.  
 
Add the chloroquine therapy effect - that should help .  
 
 
The revising data and rate estimates indicate a disease with higher infectivity - but comparable case mortality to influenza A.  
 
Fascist DPST's - weeping as the numbers improve.  That much less to blame on Trump!
		 
		
		
		
		
		
		
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