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07-18-2014, 09:47 AM
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#46
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 16, 2010
Location: Texas
Posts: 51,038
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Russia can, because Russia does with impunity.
Boardman, our "investigators" have to be invited, according to international law, and the U.S. is then obligated to assure the safety of any investigators dispatched to the area. If the President wants to know how and by whom the plane was shot down, sending anyone to the crash site is a waste of time and effort. "We" already have the imagery to identify how and who. It was reported last night "we" have the gps of the launch site and missile type.
All this other hand wringing and fretting is stalling to determine what a response should be and to facilitate doubt to avoid responding significantly.
It's time for another vacation.
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07-18-2014, 10:31 AM
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#47
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Lifetime Premium Access
Join Date: Jan 1, 2010
Location: houston
Posts: 48,272
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Wtf do you propose we do LL? I do not want to hear more of your constant crying but wtf you would do? Invade Russia?
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07-18-2014, 10:44 AM
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#48
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Apr 1, 2009
Location: TBD
Posts: 7,435
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Quote:
Originally Posted by boardman
So they mistook this
for this?
.jpg)
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Not really. At 33,000 feet, all anyone would see would be a dot with a contrail.
This wasn't done visually.
It was all done on radar and done poorly, obviously.
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07-18-2014, 10:49 AM
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#49
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jun 12, 2011
Location: Olathe
Posts: 16,815
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This is what we're talking about. The SA-11 is not a shoulder launched system that you can just pick up. It takes training and you just don't find one on the road. These were given by the Russians and probably has a Russian trainer with it.
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07-18-2014, 10:52 AM
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#50
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Apr 1, 2009
Location: TBD
Posts: 7,435
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigtex
I agree that we should stay out of it at this point in time time and allow the investigative authorities to determine WTF happened.
Over reacting at this point in time is not in anyone's best interest!
Once an informed decision is made we can then determine the path going forward.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by boardman
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pyramider
Yeah Putin would dearly love to have a third party there sorting out the details ...
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Pyramider got it right.
There isn't going to be any real investigation of this - at least not of the wreckage.
It is pretty clear the Russian separatist rebels - and possibly the Russians themselves - shot down the plane.
But the wreckage landed in rebel-held territory. So they have the evidence of their own crime.
I don't see any reason why the rebels would allow the wreckage to be inspected if the inevitable result is to cement the guilt of the rebels and/or the Russians.
I would expect them to cite "security concerns" and refuse any outside inspection of the wreckage, the crash site, or their own radar data.
We are going to have to piece this together with intelligence information from our own military radar and satellite systems.
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07-18-2014, 11:34 AM
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#51
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Making Pussy Great Again
Join Date: Jan 4, 2010
Location: In your closet, in your head...
Posts: 16,093
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ExNYer
Not really. At 33,000 feet, all anyone would see would be a dot with a contrail.
This wasn't done visually.
It was all done on radar and done poorly, obviously.
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Exactly!
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07-18-2014, 11:35 AM
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#52
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El Hombre de la Mancha
Join Date: Dec 30, 2009
Location: State of Confusion
Posts: 46,430
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JD Barleycorn
This is what we're talking about. The SA-11 is not a shoulder launched system that you can just pick up. It takes training and you just don't find one on the road. These were given by the Russians and probably has a Russian trainer with it.
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Oh come on, any good army/navy surplus store would have them.
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07-18-2014, 11:51 AM
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#53
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Making Pussy Great Again
Join Date: Jan 4, 2010
Location: In your closet, in your head...
Posts: 16,093
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pyramider
Oh come on, any good army/navy surplus store would have them.
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Or check Ebay...Oh, wait they don't do weapons.
Edit: I just found one on Craigslist - Istanbul. They wrote it up like it's a radio controlled hobby helicopter but it's obviously a SA-11
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07-18-2014, 12:17 PM
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#54
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 16, 2010
Location: Texas
Posts: 51,038
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WTF
Wtf do you propose we do LL?
Based on what I've seen of you ... "we" ain't gonna do nothing. As for me there is not much I can do either. I was hoping (about all we got left) that OUR PRESIDENT would immediately cut ties with the Russians ... of course it might put our space program in jeopardy since this duffus converted NASA into a Muslim educational institution, and some of our Russian providers might get stranded here without any replacements!
I do not want to hear more of your constant crying ...
That's not me crying you "hear" .... you might want to check your gaggle of bimbos ...
but wtf you would do? Invade Russia?
See above. I did post an idea I heard last night ... executive order prohibiting Russian planes from landing in U.S. and cut off bank credit at U.S. banks.... immediately until the Russians cough up the culprits.
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Carry on.
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07-18-2014, 12:22 PM
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#55
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 16, 2010
Location: Texas
Posts: 51,038
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ExNYer
Not really. At 33,000 feet, all anyone would see would be a dot with a contrail.
This wasn't done visually.
It was all done on radar and done poorly, obviously.
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You're the aviation expert I see... so....
Does the prop job leave a contrail or have a 33,000 foot operation ceiling?
It depends? Service ceiling about 25,000 for An-26. I'm also thinking a bit slower.
IJA
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07-18-2014, 01:40 PM
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#56
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Mar 28, 2012
Location: Tel Aviv
Posts: 6,287
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ExNYer
How do you know? Somebody might have found a piece of insulation washed up on shore and tossed it in the garbage, not knowing what it was.
And if it crashed in the middle of the ocean, but remained relatively intact, why would you expect ANY of it to be found.
Think of the plane that crashed in the Hudson River in NY. It floated briefly before sinking next to the shore line. But if was intact except of an engine that got ripped off.
If it had sank more quicly, nothing would have been left behind.
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That (Capt Sully's landing) was the most perfect water landing possible with such a jet, which even has landing stabilization software when it senses the ground (or level surface of the water) to level the wings, on relatively calm waters versus open ocean, and yet the engine was ripped off. Your scenario is plausible that relatively small debris was found and not identified by disinterested third parties, yet the final disposition of the case is still lacking adequate physical evidence.
I do not advocate the "terrorist landing in a remote area and hide the plane theory", but without any part of the plane yet found it cannot be conclusively ruled out yet. All the water landings I have ever seen of large commercial aircraft have yielded debris. This case (flight 370) is still open.
I'm no conspiracy theorist. I think Oswald acted alone and shot Kennedy, and MLK was shot by James Earl Ray, and Sirhan Sirhan shot Bobby. I think the WTC was downed by aircraft and not a controlled explosion. I don't even buy into the Bermuda triangle bullshit, nor area 51 and martians. Fuck, I don't even think Bigfoot exists.
I just think more information is needed, and I hope JD is eventually able to laugh in your face and say "I told you so". But is is a longshot.
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07-18-2014, 01:46 PM
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#57
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Making Pussy Great Again
Join Date: Jan 4, 2010
Location: In your closet, in your head...
Posts: 16,093
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LexusLover
Carry on.
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Credit was cut off today as part of the larger sanction package due to the Russian presence in Ukraine.
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07-18-2014, 01:56 PM
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#58
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Lifetime Premium Access
Join Date: Jan 1, 2010
Location: houston
Posts: 48,272
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Quote:
Originally Posted by boardman
Credit was cut off today as part of the larger sanction package due to the Russian presence in Ukraine.
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Do to Russia what we did to Iran....see if we can change their minds and hearts in the next 35 years!
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07-18-2014, 02:25 PM
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#59
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Account Disabled
Join Date: Apr 1, 2009
Location: TBD
Posts: 7,435
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LexusLover
You're the aviation expert I see... so....
Does the prop job leave a contrail or have a 33,000 foot operation ceiling?
It depends? Service ceiling about 25,000 for An-26. I'm also thinking a bit slower.
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Actually, doesn't that back up my point that this was done by radar, not visually?
It doesn't matter what a small An-26 looks like at 25,000 feet. Because we know the target was at 33,000 feet. Contrail or not.
From the ground, a 777 is just a dot or a teeny-tiny V-shape at 33,000 feet. The An-26 might not even be visible if it could somehow get that high.
So, if any one WAS looking up, they couldn't have thought they saw an An-26.
Also, the intelligence reports are indicating this was done by a radar-guided SA-11 missile system.
I don't know where the An-26 story got started, but it is pure bullshit.
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07-18-2014, 02:50 PM
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#60
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Valued Poster
Join Date: Jan 16, 2010
Location: Texas
Posts: 51,038
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ExNYer
Also, the intelligence reports are indicating this was done by a radar-guided SA-11 missile system.
I don't know where the An-26 story got started, but it is pure bullshit.
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Early on the "intelligence reports" were that it was not an SA-11 missile and the launch was not from Ukrainian soil ... the "An-26 story" was not "bullshit" since one was shot down earlier in the week with almost 50 personnel lost, and there were phone conversations intercepted by U.S. intelligence between a Ukrainian and a Russian discussing a downed cargo plane yesterday morning with lots of profanity between the two on the phone ... and then the "facebook" announcement of a cargo plane shot down was removed ...
.. it is "convenient" to keep the SA-11 story alive, because the "rebels" have SA-11's from Russia, which the Russians were training them to use. It was reported that there are SA-20's in Russia near the Ukranian border where the plane was shot down. The Ukranians did not have SA-20's.
If it's a bunch of crazy rebels who accidentally shot down a passenger plane then "we" don't have to do anything about it .... and Putin gets a pass!!!!!
Then "we" can get back to "our vacation" ... all is good in the world, and happy!
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