Are Venezuela's oil reserves overstated?
300 billion barrels or 29 billion barrels?
It may depend upon one's definition rather than actual barrels in the ground.
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oi...coverable.html
Quote:
Venezuela's official figure of over 300 billion barrels of proven oil reserves is mostly a statistical reclassification of extra-heavy crude from the Orinoco Belt, driven by high oil prices and changing reserve definitions, rather than new discoveries.
The Orinoco crude is closer to Canadian oil sands and is expensive and complex to extract, requiring upgrading infrastructure, leading independent estimates to place the economically recoverable oil at roughly 29 billion barrels.
Between 2005 and 2011, Venezuela’s reported reserves nearly quadrupled—from under 80 billion barrels to nearly 300 billion—without a corresponding surge in discoveries or production. The transformation was largely statistical, not physical.
By 2008, crude prices were approaching $140 per barrel. As oil prices rose, projects that had once been marginal suddenly appeared economic—at least on paper.
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At current prices (and even more so at Trump's desired prices) in the $40/bbl range much of Venezuela's oil changes from reserve to resource. The difference?
A barrel of oil only qualifies as a proven reserve if it can be economically recovered at prevailing oil prices using existing technology.